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2024-12-13 04:42:33

The first message, today, the morning market in call auction opened 2.58% higher, which is more common in the historical market. A-shares have opened more than 230 times since 1990, and the increase of 2%-3% has dropped to 55%. If it is more than 4% higher than that on November 8, the winning rate is less than 50%.The high opening and low going of the index are nothing more than the T+1 trading mechanism, quantitative funds, poor short-term market trends and other reasons, resulting in a high probability of the stock market opening after news stimulation and low going due to emotional influence.There are two evolution processes in my forecast of the market outlook:


The high opening and low going of the index are nothing more than the T+1 trading mechanism, quantitative funds, poor short-term market trends and other reasons, resulting in a high probability of the stock market opening after news stimulation and low going due to emotional influence.Today's trend, with the roller coaster market closing, is really surprising and happy. Surprisingly, A shares went low after opening higher. It seems that the market in recent years is going low every time it opens higher. The big yinxian line similar to October 8 is still fresh in my mind, and today history repeats itself.My thinking is that the current market does not have the characteristics of ending the rally. Although the A50 futures index fell more than 3%, the intraday index of A shares did not turn green.


Write it at the endIf today's rising market will bring the trend of stepping back to 3230 points for the later trend, then the high point of the market today and the high point of 3509 points in November are expected to form a double-top shape, which is the signal that the current round of rising at 3227 points is over.Do not rule out tomorrow's market, there is a trend of trying to make up for today's gap. After all, today's K-line has closed the barefoot yinxian line, indicating that some funds are still leaving the market at the end of the session, which has played an empty role in Wednesday's trend.

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